Both the Biden and Trump campaigns will work to mobilize their bases and maximize turnout among their supporters. But those votes alone will probably not be enough to ensure victory.
Academic rigor, journalistic flair
Articles on 2024 US presidential election
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The US is relying more on its alliances in the Middle East in order to pull back a bit. This will likely continue no matter who is in the White House next year.
Technology could come to the rescue, protecting the integrity of elections.
In the 2020 presidential election, groups of self-appointed electors in seven states met to cast votes for Donald Trump, even though Joe Biden had carried their states. Could that happen again?
The stark reality is the United States has never been one country. And Trump is better than anyone at exploiting that.
Since 1992, Michigan voted reliably for Democratic presidential candidates. Then Donald Trump won the state in 2016, followed by Biden’s 2020 win in the state. Michigan is a ‘battleground state.’
Ohio remains stuck with a deadline that won’t allow Joe Biden, running for reelection, to appear on the November ballot. The GOP-run Legislature does not appear to want to fix the problem.
There are many parallels between 1968 and today: an unpopular war, a vulnerable Democratic presidential candidate and a divided America.
Former President Donald Trump has made some inroads with voters of color by appealing to law and order, conservative social values and mistrust of government.
One-third of Americans think that “rule by a strong leader or the military would be a good way of governing their country.” Are they losing faith in democracy?
The risk for the president is that he has not anticipated just how much his own foreign policy might undermine his message and the strength of his personal appeal.
Both politicians are exploiting some tried and true rhetorical and psychological tactics.
A vice president is usually chosen to offset a presidential candidate’s weaknesses. For Trump, this means he could pick a person of colour or a woman.
What does someone like me, who believes that the last presidential election was legitimately won by Joe Biden, say to those who think the 2020 election was stolen?
The parallels between Trump and Nixon are abundantly clear. Yet even Nixon acknowledged the fundamental importance of accountability in a democracy.
Trump has apparently been unable to secure the appeal bond he needs to avoid paying the civil fraud judgment against him.
There are potential threats to US democracy posed by the choices voters make in this presidential election. But the benefits of American democracy have for centuries been unequally available.
Detailed data on the ages at which people die can give good indications of a person’s remaining life span.
Can you run for president from a prison cell? One man did in the 1920 election and got almost a million votes.
Donald Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election results. But the work of others, from lawmakers to judges to regular citizens, stopped him. There are cautionary lessons in that for the 2024 election.
Top contributors
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Adjunct Senior Fellow, School of Global, Urban and Social Studies, RMIT University
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Associate Professor and Director of the Centre on US Politics, UCL
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Director of Research, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Professor of Law, University of Notre Dame
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Honorary Fellow, School of Historical and Philosophical Studies, The University of Melbourne
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Teaching Fellow in International Security, University of Portsmouth
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Associate Professor of Political Science, College of Charleston
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Non-resident fellow, United States Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Assistant Professor of Law, Quinnipiac University
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Visiting Research Fellow in International Studies, Queen's University Belfast
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Assistant Professor of Political Science, Boise State University
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Professor of Demography, The University of Texas at San Antonio
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Tisch College Associate Dean for Academic Affairs and Lincoln Filene Professor, Tufts University
