Imprecision in election polling has long been recognized. But advance polls are still useful in recognizing trends in voter preferences, and candidates’ weak points.
Despite what January polls suggest, in a Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden rematch in November, a result similar to 2020 would be probable: a big Biden vote lead and tight state-by-state battles.
New findings by political scientists at Northwestern University and Harvard Kennedy School provide a clearer picture of which demographic groups support Trump.
On February 14, 2024, more than 200 million Indonesians will vote for their next president and vice president, legislators, and councillors. This will be the world’s biggest one-day election.
Republican party leaders remain out of step with voters under 45 whose loyalty is being tested by a leadership more focused on yesterday’s battles than tomorrow’s challenges.
AI can manipulate a real event or invent one from thin air to create a ‘situation deepfake.’ These deepfakes threaten to influence upcoming elections, but you can still protect your vote.
Artificial intelligence looks like a political campaign manager’s dream because it could tune its persuasion efforts to millions of people individually – but it could be a nightmare for democracy.
The Republican and Democratic parties are increasingly coming to embrace distinctive and mutually exclusive visions with no possibility for common ground. What does that mean for Joe Biden in 2024?